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odds of getting 4 blackjacks in a row

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The chances of hitting 17 blackjacks in a row starting with a fresh shoe, playing with a 4 deck It's actually % with 4 decks, but it rounds to % for any number of decks up to 8. I think I get your point, but maybe not.


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The Chance of the dealer having 4 blackjacks in a row Today I went to longshots such as 4 bj's in a row, it can skew the odds (consider that a.


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There were 4 other people playing the table (including my friend), and the table The chances of getting a face card multiplied by the chances of getting an ace.


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Odds of getting a blackjack are roughly 4/13*1/13*2 so the chances of that happening 3 times in a row are about 1 in 10, and the chances of.


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The Chance of the dealer having 4 blackjacks in a row Today I went to longshots such as 4 bj's in a row, it can skew the odds (consider that a.


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Mark Forums Read. Find Threads Started by whosnext. Originally Posted by Pyromantha. All times are GMT The time now is AM. Posts: 4, Send a private message to heehaww. Originally Posted by BruceZ. Are you assuming that each hand is dealt from a new random shoe, or something else? Last edited by BruceZ; at AM. The "average" part means that the card removal effects for the dealer's cards and other players cancel out over time resulting in a true frequency of 4. Doing that, the 4. Send a private message to spadebidder. Posting Rules. You can ask BruceZ next time you see him. Originally Posted by e1cnr. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks You can ask BruceZ next time you see him. The chance of consecutive ones changes according to what was dealt to the dealer and other players since those are removed from the deck. Originally Posted by spadebidder. I beg you pretty please - HELP! Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks Quote: Originally Posted by spadebidder My answer was based on reading the multiple times Michael Shackleford Wizard of Odds has addressed this question. Let me know if you want to reshuffle at some point. Find More Posts by BruceZ. Find More Posts by spadebidder. If you wong into only shoes with a positive true count, having obtained that count solely from hands dealt after mid-shoe, and play until the count goes negative, you will have a significant advantage. I am trying to figure out the probability for 3 BJs in a row because my sportsbook has a bonus tied to getting it, and curious if it is worth going after. Posts: 7, Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks In the long run a blackjack is dealt to you 4. If you don't know them, you don't know them. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks Quote: Originally Posted by spadebidder The "average" part means that the card removal effects for the dealer's cards and other players cancel out over time resulting in a true frequency of 4. Send a private message to Pyromantha. Last edited by BruceZ; at PM. You're right, I disagree that you can play with an advantage starting blind at mid shoe. Last edited by spadebidder; at AM. Smilies are On. The following assumes all hands dealt without a reshuffle. Thread Tools. It's impossible. Poker Players - Streaming Live Online.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Find Threads Started by Pyromantha. Find More Posts by TimG. You're absolutely wrong. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Part from the fact that my math skill suck, today i only slept a few hours so pardon if this does not make any sense what so ever. In the long run a blackjack is dealt to you 4. Computer Technical Help Programming. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks Quote: Originally Posted by BruceZ Then you also have a problem with card counting starting with a count of zero in the middle of a shoe. Last edited by spadebidder; at PM. Both work for the same reason. Remember Me? Send a private message to whosnext. Then you also have a problem with card counting starting with a count of zero in the middle of a shoe. Find Threads Started by e1cnr. The chances of hitting 17 blackjacks in a row starting with a fresh shoe, playing with a 4 deck shoe is zero, it can never happen. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks Quote: Originally Posted by spadebidder You're right, I disagree that you can play with an advantage starting blind at mid shoe. That isn't an opinion. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks Quote: Originally Posted by TimG Well as stated before the calculation BruceZ did was according to 4 decks, which makes the odds way more likely. Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks. BB code is On. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks I am going insane here. What you can calculate however, is the average probability kind of redundant I know for all possible deck stubs. Find Threads Started by BruceZ. But as you imply, the chance of consecutive naturals can't be calculated without knowing all the specific cards dealt at the table every hand. Send a private message to e1cnr. Find More Posts by whosnext. My answer was based on reading the multiple times Michael Shackleford Wizard of Odds has addressed this question. Well as stated before the calculation BruceZ did was according to 4 decks, which makes the odds way more likely. Probability Discussions of probability theory. Find Threads Started by spadebidder. It's not clear what the 'average probability kind of redundant I know for all possible deck stubs' means. I am going insane here. I can't see any other interpretation under which the 4. Find Threads Started by TimG. I do understand your point, fwiw. Find Threads Started by heehaww. Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks Part from the fact that my math skill suck, today i only slept a few hours so pardon if this does not make any sense what so ever. View Public Profile. Forum Rules. Send a private message to TimG. Find More Posts by heehaww. As far as I can tell, they use continuous shuffle with multiple decks. Find More Posts by e1cnr. I'm a little troubled by ignoring the -known- cards here and treating them as unknowns. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks I am trying to figure out the probability for 3 BJs in a row because my sportsbook has a bonus tied to getting it, and curious if it is worth going after. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks It's not clear what the 'average probability kind of redundant I know for all possible deck stubs' means. Send a private message to BruceZ. Of course you can calculate the probability of blackjacks occurring on the next N hands with no unseen cards, and the hands are never independent unless we reshuffle every hand. Oh nonsense. Find More Posts by Pyromantha. User Name. Originally Posted by TimG. Re: Odds of hitting consecutive blackjacks Quote: Originally Posted by Pyromantha I can't see any other interpretation under which the 4. So the chance your NEXT two hands dealt are both blackjack, is 4.